Yahoo! No Competitor for Google (and neither is MSN!)

excerpt from: “Yahoo Worth More Divided Or Sold: Analyst”

YAHOO’S VALUE WILL NOT BE unleashed until it is broken up or sold, Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. analyst Jeffrey Lindsay said in a research report last week. “To stop the inevitable slide into irrelevance, the management team must consider more radical actions and strategies,” Lindsay wrote. “Incremental changes to rebuild revenues simply won’t cut it this time.”…
Yahoo could be broken into ad and subscription businesses to reach his $39-a-share estimate, Lindsay wrote.”

article by Laurie Petersen, executive editor, MediaPost.

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Reading the Google merger tea leaves in the trade press

Just for the record, here are 3 excerpts from trade articles we believe are relevant to the merger review.

1. “Ad networks given last chance to question Google-DoubleClick deal” [NMA Magazine (UK). 13.09.07]

British ad networks have expressed strong concerns to the EU over the $3.1bn (£1.53bn) Google buyout of ad serving giant DoubleClick. As the deadline for responding to the European Commission’s Directorate on Competition draws near, the industry warned that there would be problems with the merger…Networks have responded to consultation from the Commission about any problems they have with the merger deal, announced in April. This is the last formal way for companies to express their concerns with the merger, although some remain cynical as to whether it will make any difference.

Phil Nott, sales director at Adrevenue, said networks should still send through their objections. “People have accepted this is going through too easily. If they knew they could send in their views and get a chance to block it, then maybe more would speak up about their concerns.”

2. Do Home Pages Have a Place in Web 2.0’s Future? Advertising Age. Oct 1, 2007.

“The report, out today, will serve as a “sanity check” for some early Web 2.0 adopters and technophiles. And, he said, “for more traditional marketers, there’s a whole new world we have to introduce them to.” One of the most surprising things the team found was how many people are starting their online shopping with search — more than 54% of the study’s panel, in fact. The idea that more consumers are coming to brand sites through the side door of search means search engines are starting to circumvent brands when it comes to online shopping. While a consumer looking for a pizza stone offline might drive to her nearest Williams-Sonoma, in the online world she’s more likely to just type the product name into Google and see what comes up.”

3. “Out of the Box: More Than Nine Billion Videos Served.” Brandweek. October 01, 2007
In July, Americans viewed more than 9 billion videos online, according to comScore’s Video Metrix report. Nearly 75% of U.S. Internet users watched an average of three hours of online video during the month.

Google Sites topped the July rankings with the most unique viewers and most videos viewed. Nearly 2.5 billion videos were viewed there (a 27% share of videos)—a full 2.4 billion at YouTube.com. Yahoo! Sites ranked second with 390 million (4.3%), followed by Fox Interactive Media with 298 million (3.3%) and Viacom Digital with 281 million (3.1%).

Doubleclick Does Mobile Ad Collection/Targeting. Waiting for GooglePhone?

excerpt: “DoubleClick Mobile will integrate with DART for Publishers to provide ad trafficking and yield optimization for campaigns designed to appear on phones. Additionally, the company plans to release a mobile ad management product for advertisers sometime in 2008, according to Ari Paparo, DoubleClick’s VP of rich media and emerging technologies…DoubleClick Mobile aims to bring “a lot of heavy iron” to the developing marketplace for ads on handsets. The product is capable of pairing ads with content according to the screen size and capabilities of the device being used to view them, and supports device-specific previews for each ad position and execution. In addition to standard mobile display ads, it supports ad formats such as combination ads and roadblocks. Through pixel-based ad tracking, agencies and other third parties can access campaign performance data through their own campaign reporting systems..

DoubleClick Mobile is launching simultaneously in the U.S. and Europe… Next year, the company plans to release a more comprehensive mobile ad management suite that includes tools for agencies to plan and track their mobile campaigns…

DoubleClick Mobile comes just a week after Google, its probable soon-to-be parent, opened publisher enrollment for its AdSense for Mobile program.”

from: “Doubleclick Launches Site-Side Mobile Ad Management, Advertiser Version in Development.” Zachary Rodgers. ClickZ. September 24, 2007

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Google Hides Behind Online Content to Protect its Data-Gathering/Targeted Marketing Business

Google’s D.C. public policy lobbyists need to do better than echo the same phrases that advertisers have used for decades. Whenever questions are raised about unethical and consumer harmful business practices, advertising companies–now including Google it appears–trot out the same old canard. Google’s policy people say that we should all be thankful that online advertising has given the public “consumer benefits in the form of more online resources and more relevant information…Simply put, advertising is information, and relevant advertising is information that is useful to consumers.” We are happy to debate the issue about the role online advertising plays in the future of diverse content, especially news. We have real concerns about the gatekeeping role Google and a few others will play as the online content market rapidly evolves. But Google has not answered the basic question, months after its announced takeover of Doubleclick. What privacy advocates are saying is that the way Google conducts its interactive marketing business (especially in the light of the proposed takeover) is a privacy concern–not online advertising itself.

Google CEO Eric Schmidt (see his new Financial Times op-ed) wrote that although Google is concerned about privacy, the solution does not “…automatically mean new laws. In my experience self-regulation often works better than legislation – especially in highly competitive markets where people can easily switch providers.” But, of course, with Google’s dramatic expansion, along with the rush to consolidate (Microsoft, Yahoo! and Time Warner, among others), it’s questionable whether we will have competition. Besides, we require national laws, not self-serving declarations from CEO’s whose business model depends on the collection and expanded use of personal information.

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Canadian Privacy Group Raises Key Concerns on Google, Doubleclick and Threat to our Privacy

We urge everyone to read the CIPPIC petition filed yesterday in Canada asking for a investigation of Google and Doubleclick. Among the key questions raised is whether the two companies are violating Canadian privacy law (Personal Information Protection and Electronic Documents Act-PIPEDA). The full document is on the Canadian Internet Policy and Public Interest Clinic website. But here are some key excerpts raising very important issues. Bravo! (and Merci) CIPPIC.

“37. Google’s servers automatically record information when the user visits Google’s website or uses Google products. Google server logs record the search request, URL, Internet Protocol (IP) address, browser type and language, and the date and time of the request, and one or more cookies that may uniquely identify the user’s browser. Google stores server logs indefinitely, but “anonymizes” them after 18 months.

38. The act of collecting user search queries and IP addresses invokes PIPEDA, requiring Google to provide adequate notice to users of any collection, retention, use, or disclosure of personal information other than that which can be reasonably implied (in this case, collection, retention and use necessary to deliver search results to the individual user). Without such notice, Google cannot be said to be obtaining meaningful consent from users to any other information practices, including retention and use for targeted marketing purposes.

39. The fact that Google’s search service is entirely dependent upon targeted marketing to users is not evident to the ordinary computer user. It cannot therefore be said that users implicitly consent to the use of their data for marketing purposes, even if such use is central to Google’s business model. Indeed, most users likely do not reasonably expect Google to retain their search queries in connection to their IP address for much longer than necessary to deliver the requested search results.

62. Google collects a variety of personal information about its users and uses that information to, among other things, improve its target marketing services. Online advertising services are constantly being improved, sometimes in ways that involve greater collection and use of personal data. This raises the question of what level of data collection and analysis is necessary for the purpose of target marketing; at what point is Google collecting more personal data than necessary for advertising purposes? No doubt Google is limiting its collection of data to that which is relevant for the marketing purposes, but the test in Canada is necessity, not relevance.

63. CIPPIC submits that a determination of what is necessary under Principle 4.4 should be driven not by what is possible or desirable from an advertising perspective, but rather what is actually necessary for Google to provide the service. The same test should be applied to all online advertisers, not just Google.”

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Google’s Mobile Search Advertising Ambition: Control the Market

From Online Media Daily [“Google’s Mobile Ad Move Gets Everybody Talking.” Tameka Lee. September 14, 2007] excerpt:

The search giant “is acting fast to take control of the mobile search ad market–a crucial move if it expands as predicted,” said Silicon Alley Insider’s Dan Frommer. And with The Kelsey Group predicting mobile search to generate more than $1.4 billion in ad revenue by 2012, Google is trying to get a jump on what right now is anyone’s game.

Google had been testing mobile text ads since last year, but decided to expand the effort–informing all AdWords advertisers through emails that if they didn’t opt-out, their sponsored links would now be served to mobile searchers…

According to a Google spokesperson, the company went full-scale with mobile search ads, partly because of the sheer volume of mobile-ready ads in place, and because “the mobile space is an increasingly important part of how users are accessing information.

Google: Cash, not Quality, Redefines Top Paid Search Placement

As Google changes its policies so it can dramatically broaden its reach for advertisers, esp. the ones with the deepest marketing pockets, it’s key to understand what it means for the future of democratically distributed content. We believe Google’s recent change to its “top rank” formula for paid search ads is important to note. One day, “quality” can be a parameter is helping define what sites show up first; the next, as it works to generate greater revenues, it’s who can pay the most. Here are key excerpts from a two-part story on ClickZ: [my italics] “The change is to the formula used to calculate whether Google gives the advertiser (and specifically, the ad) top placement. Top slots are defined as the slots above the organic results, as opposed to ads shown down the right rail…What changed is the formula Google uses to decide whether to show your ad in the top portion of the page or leave it in the right rail. To have an ad considered for top placement, you need a minimum Quality Score…Assuming you have a sufficiently high Quality Score, the new formula uses a combination of maximum bid and Quality Score to determine eligibility subject to a new minimum price for top placement set by Google.

This allows Google to decide, on a keyword-by-keyword and SERP-by-SERP basis, how much it wants to earn for the top spots. The minimum bid price for top positions is undisclosed and subject to change.” [blog note: SERP is the search engine results page]

The search function has become an important part of democratic media. Keeping the leading search engine accountable and transparent—let alone ensuring competition and meaningful access for diverse information—is key. All of the major search engines, btw, inc. Yahoo! and MSN, require serious public interest scrutiny.

Google’s Ad Industry-related Job Openings: help us become the “definitive source of marketing intelligence”

These three job announcements from Google are too good to ignore. They say a lot about where Google–and global society–are headed. I’ve excerpted from the complete ad (but links are there if you want to apply!). Take a look esp. at # 2.:

1. “The role: Industry Marketing Manager, Advertising Agencies – New York

As an Industry Marketing Manager in Industry Development, you’ll establish and build marketing strategies and tactics for Advertising Agencies. This involves positioning and tailoring Google products to the Advertising Agencies Vertical, staying current with consumer and industry trends, developing a reputation as a thought leader, contributing to effective collateral and interactive presentations, and working with Research on identifying your sector’s needs, contributing to the custom research scope and packaging the results. Expertise in the Ad Agencies Vertical is preferred…

Responsibilities:

  • Create and execute strategic marketing plans and programs to support Google’s advertising sales efforts in search, display, TV, audio, print, online video and commerce…”

2. “Consumer Advertising Insights Director… As the Consumer Advertising Insights Director, you will develop and grow our existing team of consumer and industry research analysts. Working with stakeholders across functions here at Google, you will drive the overall advertising research business strategy. Your team will be responsible for developing external communication frameworks for proprietary insights, primary research roadmaps, and secondary research programs. Working with the world’s leading marketers, your team will provide actionable marketing insights across industries, brands, and customers, informing the very marketing decisions that get executed through Google and beyond.

Key responsibilities will include demonstrating the value of Google as a brand-building platform, providing unique insights into consumer perception, behavior, and attitudes around the brands we are building, and managing relationships with vendors and clients. This role will provide the opportunity to work side-by-side with Google’s sales organization to provide subject matter expertise for our customers’ marketing and consumer research functions.

Responsibilities:

  • Establish Google as the definitive source of marketing intelligence.
  • Produce actionable and industry-leading insights around consumer web behavior.
  • Assess online advertising effectiveness and manage related programs.
  • Develop correlations between online and offline media and become an intelligent broker of media mix solutions, by client, industry, and marketing objective.
  • Analyze consumer web behavior for macro insights and trends.
  • Develop new industry intelligence by conducting independent primary research studies.
  • Partner with leading think-tanks (industry groups, academia, consulting firms).”

3. “The role: Industry Marketing Manager, Brand Advertising Solutions

The Industry Marketing Manager for Brand Advertising Solutions will work to define and execute marketing programs that help drive advertiser adoption of Google’s online display and video advertising solutions. With the rapid evolution of the online advertising landscape, and Google as the leading innovator in that market, this role will be at the center of much industry change. You’ll work closely with both Google and YouTube sales management on marketing programs that educate and influence the world’s largest advertisers and ad agencies. You’re an outstanding writer, an excellent communicator and a team leader. You also have the ability to create effective, interactive presentations and deliver them in front of large groups. Your thought leadership, excellent client-servicing and relationship skills, and entrepreneurship allow you to make persuasive presentations in front of new and existing customers.

Responsibilities:

  • Create and execute strategic marketing plans and programs to support Google’s advertising sales efforts, with focus on YouTube ads and online display ads.
  • Analyze data, trends and client performance, contribute to solid strategic sales plans, and prepare research and data for presentations the Sales team will use.
  • Create marketing materials such as case studies, thought-leadership pieces, client presentations, executive presentations, videos, media kits and white papers.
  • Provide insights and case studies that promote Google’s advertising platforms in your proposals.
  • Develop event strategy and drive your sector’s visibility by speaking at industry events and interacting with the media.”

Google & Doubleclick: Merging the No 1. Video Platforms

It’s important to follow the online ad marketplace for video-based advertising. Note what a Doubleclick top exec said in a ClickZ interview: ” We claim we do the most video on the Internet.” The same exec also said that “[A]ccording to all the figures, as far as we can tell, we’re the second largest rich media vendor.”

Of course, Google’s YouTube is the number one online video brand as well [a Google rep. is quoted saying that it’s now the eight largest website]. As YouTube explains, it is “the world’s largest online video community allowing millions of people to discover, watch and share originally created videos. YouTube… acts as a distribution platform for original content creators and advertisers large and small.”

In other words, the merging of Google with Doubleclick will create an online video and search advertising and marketing powerhouse–one which threatens both competition and privacy (among other issues).

excerpt:
A Multi-Party System or a Monopoly

While Google looks at spending potentially $4.6 billion on the wireless auction, it has another multi-billion dollar matter it would like to have settled. That, of course, is its acquisition of DoubleClick. Announced in April, the deal has been met with significant backlash and questioning from all corners. Currently the deal awaits Federal Trade Commission approval. At stake is potential control of the Web advertising ecosystem. A marriage of Google & DoubleClick creates a clear pecking order for all advertising online — an order that would once again put Yahoo and Microsoft in a trailing position…To date, Google employees have out-contributed Microsoft employees toward the 2008 presidential candidates — a stark contrast to the 10:1 contribution margin that existed in 2006…As Google tries to rewrite the rules on how advertising is done and expands its reach into all spectrums of communications, the importance of Washington will only grow. Over the past two years Google has grown its Washington lobbyists base from 0 to 12 (a sizable number for a technology company), hosted four 2008 presidential candidates on its campus (three Dems, one Republican) and established its own political action committee that has already out-raised its 2006 total.”

from: “The Next President: Sponsored by Google.” Chris Copeland. Search Insider. August 10, 2007.

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